wisepowder's Blog

China Financial System Leverage Set to Stabilise in 2021


Fitch Ratings-Shanghai/Hong Kong-01 June 2020: Leverage in China’s financial system will hit a new record in 2020 given the sharp slowdown in nominal GDP growth caused by the coronavirus pandemic, but the rise in leverage should be temporary, says Fitch Ratings. The government's continued emphasis on containing financial-sector risks and its efforts to boost capitalisation in more vulnerable banks are positive signs, but challenges associated with transparency may become more pressing in 2020.To get more finance news China, you can visit shine news official website.

Fitch views bank capital as a significant constraint against aggressive bank-led stimulus. Our analysis shows that the ratio of outstanding Fitch-adjusted total social financing (FATSF) to GDP will jump 18pp to a new high of 273% in 2020. The FATSF figure excludes central government bonds and local government bonds, which have been included in the official TSF data since December 2019, and local-government special bonds, which have been included in the TSF data since September 2018.
The rise the FATSF-to-GDP ratio in 2020 will be largely driven by Fitch’s forecast of a sharp slowdown in nominal economic growth, while we expect a slight acceleration of loan growth as banks adhere to the policy approach outlined by the government at the annual session of China’s National People’s Congress (NPC). Fitch’s forecasts for nominal GDP growth appear lower than the government’s, which can be inferred from the NPC budget targets, although there is no official GDP growth target this year. However, we expect the upward trend in leverage to be short-lived as economic recovery in 2021 should see overall system leverage maintained at a stable level in 2021.

We expect loan growth in 2020 to be dominated by corporate and inclusive finance loans, with consumer spending (and credit) being badly affected by the impact of the coronavirus on confidence and incomes. The government’s call for large state banks to increase lending to inclusive micro and small enterprises (MSEs) by a 40% in 2020, following around 50% growth in 2019, could pose more risks to asset quality. However, inclusive MSEs accounted for only around 8% of system loans at end-1Q20. The government is also looking to promote lending to “new infrastructure”, such as 5G networks, as well as loans to traditional public works and urbanisation initiatives.
Pressure on all banks' profitability will increase in 2020, and Chinese banks are no exception. Lower interest rates will dampen earnings, as will the weakness in credit card and personal lending, an important driver of fees and profits for mid-tier banks in China in the past several years. Earnings challenges will be particularly notable for smaller institutions as their weaker franchises could result in greater net interest margin compression. Smaller institutions also tend to have weaker asset quality and capitalisation.

The People’s Bank of China, recognising this risk, announced 11 financial reform measures on 27 May focused on small and medium-sized banks, which, among other goals, sought to accelerate the replenishment of their capital. The China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission also moved to give insurers more flexibility to invest in perpetual bonds and Tier 2 capital instruments issued by banks.

At the NPC, the government again emphasised the need to contain financial risks. We expect the contraction in shadow financing, such as entrusted loans and trust loans, to continue in 2020. However, wide-ranging loan forbearance and increased lending to state-owned corporates are likely to reduce transparency and further complicate the recognition of asset quality problems. We expect official efforts to rein in system leverage to strengthen in 2021, assisted by stronger economic growth, but if leverage continues to increase significantly, this could affect our assessment of the operating environment risks for China's banks.

Why Investment in Small UK Technology Companies Could Provide Sustainable Returns



The UK is widely regarded as one of the greatest places to start an innovative tech company. This shouldn’t come as any surprise given the world-class academia we have to offer, the legacy of innovation and, importantly, the funding opportunities available to entrepreneurs. Of course, we also have a language advantage for global businesses which shouldn’t be underestimated.To get more International finance news china, you can visit shine news official website.

There can be a temptation to look to the USA and the glamour of Silicon Valley, and indeed this may be where some companies ultimately end up in order to achieve their ‘Unicorn goals,’ but that doesn’t tell the whole story.

At Deepbridge Capital, we are fortunate to work internationally and all of the aforementioned points are regularly raised as reasons for growth-focused tech companies wanting to be involved in the UK ecosystem, as well as the other sector-focused appeals of the UK.

For example, for medtech companies, the rubber stamp of having the globally-recognised NHS trialing or adopting a device can be of massive significance. Such a testimony opens doors with healthcare providers elsewhere and the scalability that offers.

To a similar degree, fintech can find a natural home in the UK, as a global financial hub, with initiatives such as the FCA Sandbox providing a test bed which can empower fintech innovators to prove concept and showcase innovation.

I could continue by looking at legal tech, biotech, agritech and many more. Indeed, the UK has developed a number of ‘hubs’ across the country to provide opportunities for collaboration and innovation in specific fields of tech. Often these hubs are associated with academia and other influential partners. Outside of the ‘golden triangle’ of London, Oxford and Cambridge, examples of such hubs, include Liverpool as a gaming and virtual reality hub (indeed our investee company vTime is at the forefront of this); Manchester as a digital hub but also the home of graphene (again, we have helped a great company in this sector, Flex-G, create a Manchester base); Edinburgh and Bristol as digital innovation hubs, and numerous less well known areas such as west Wales (working with the likes of the University of Aberystwyth) focussing on agritech.

Naturally, our excitement in all of this is centred on the investment opportunity. As highlighted earlier, the funding ecosystem in the UK is a big reason for the success of tech companies here. This is particularly true in what is often the most difficult funding stage, being the first commercialisation funding or early Series A funding.

The first funding a company received is usually self-funding, or the attraction of funding from friends, family or a supportive business angel. This is usually based on a ‘good idea’ and goodwill towards the founder. This funding tends to be relatively small ticket and, in reality, is an investment ‘punt.’

When you then get to later funding rounds, later Series A and Series B, tech companies are usually expected to have significant recurring revenues and there is no shortage of funding opportunities both here in the UK and elsewhere.

In both of these examples, the UK has a strong track record of funding, but where the UK really excels is at the stage ranging from ‘seed’ funding to early Series A. At this point, a tech company is likely to be beyond the cheque-size which can be offered purely on goodwill, but is unlikely to have the revenues to support interest from the VC, PE and institutional funds looking for a de-risked opportunity.

Historically, this funding gap has been described as the ‘chasm of death,’ as it is often where a company will choke due to lack of funding. However, this is an area where the UK has a significant competitive advantage on international peers; the Enterprise Investment Scheme.

There Were a Lot of Fashion Moments at Today’s Inauguration



The inauguration served up a lot today. It shattered glass ceilings, renewed calls for unity and hope, and unleashed a whole lot of fashion—both the show-stopping kind (ehem, Michelle Obama), or the “huh, well that’s definitely a look” variety. Let’s take a little peek through some of the more memorable looks.To get more fashion news today, you can visit shine news official website.

Our Slack channel blew up when the Obamas descended down the stairs. Michelle Obama, in her stunning red/purplish coat-and-pant ensemble (reportedly by Sergio Hudson), was a vision we won’t soon forget.

First Lady Jill Biden has always been chic, but this time her well-coordinated masks are what caught our attention. Last night, at the Reflecting Pool for a memorial service for Covid-19 victims, she paired a purple Jonathan Cohen coat with a mask patterned in purple hearts. Today, she matched her mask to her blue Markarian coat and gloves.

Lady Gaga is not one to shy away from a fashion statement, and this one gave us a couple of different feels: “royalty,” The Hunger Games, and Evita were all tossed out among the chatter. The brooch is a dove with an olive branch. “May we all make peace with each other,” Gaga tweeted.

Who else watched video of Amanda Gorman’s performance on repeat? The 22-year-old (we’ll say that again: TWENTY-TWO-YEAR-OLD) poet’s reading of “The Hill We Climb” commanded the stage, and her oversized red headband took off on Twitter (it was described as “otherworldly” and “regal.”). And that yellow suit, too…

The second daughter’s bejeweled coat and white collar instantly had us talking fashion icon. We had wondered if the Parsons School of Design student might wear something of her own, but nope—the coat is Miu Miu.

It doesn’t surprise us that the first daughter’s outfit would show off a little of her personal style—Biden has dabbled in fashion herself. Her black coat was conservative, which made her tan lace-up boots stand out all the more.

¿Sabía que su estrategia comercial no tiene por qué ser complicada para ganar dinero？ Pruebe estas sencillas estrategias de compraventa de divisas, que realmente funcionan.To get more news about forex, you can visit wikifx.com official website.
　　¿Está buscando a través de estrategias simples de comercio de divisas, tratando de encontrar la que más le convenga？

　　Cuando se implementa correctamente, cualquiera de estas simples estrategias de comercio de divisas puede ayudarlo a encaminarse hacia una rentabilidad constante.

　　Operar con una estrategia comercial avanzada no significa necesariamente que gane más dinero.

　　¡No te dejes atrapar!

　　Vamos a sumergirnos directamente en nuestras 4 estrategias de trading de forex más sencillas que funcionan.　　Nuestra cuarta y última estrategia simple de negociación de divisas es otra estrategia basada en la acción del precio. La estrategia de inversión de la barra de clavijas.

Una barra de pin es una formación de vela única con un cuerpo pequeño y una mecha larga.

　　La mecha larga muestra que el precio ha sido rechazado desde su mínimo, cerrándose nuevamente donde se abrió la vela y señalando un posible cambio en el control del mercado entre alcistas y bajistas.

　　Si bien muchos comerciantes creen que el nombre de “pin bar” proviene de su forma larga y puntiaguda que se asemeja a una aguja. De hecho, proviene de un libro de Martin Pring titulado Análisis técnico explicado, donde describió por primera vez la “barra de Pinocho”.Si el precio estaba subiendo, entonces una reversión haría que el precio bajara. Del mismo modo, si el precio bajara y se revirtiera, ahora estaría subiendo.

　　Bastante sencillo, ¿verdad？En el contexto de una inversión de la barra de clavijas: ¿qué pasa si ve una fuerte tendencia alcista, con una barra de clavija impresa en la resistencia？

　　Bueno, podría haber una reversión en las cartas.

　　Cómo intercambiar la estrategia simple de inversión de barra de pinesAdopte una posición larga cuando se forme una barra de clavija en el soporte, lo que indica una posible inversión entrante al alza.

　　· Tome una posición corta cuando se forme una barra de clavija en la resistencia, lo que indica una posible inversión entrante a la baja.

　　· Coloque su stop loss en el otro extremo de la barra de pines y apunte a una generosa relación riesgo: recompensa de 1: 3 o más.Basado en indicadores : una estrategia comercial que utiliza un indicador para analizar el precio pasado y le aplica una fórmula matemática.

　　Basado en la acción del precio : una estrategia comercial que utiliza la acción del precio actual para predecir los movimientos de precios futuros.

　　La estrategia 1 y la estrategia 2 son estrategias comerciales basadas en indicadores, que utilizan promedios móviles y los indicadores RSI, respectivamente.

　　La estrategia 3 y la estrategia 4, por otro lado, utilizan la acción del precio para determinar las entradas y salidas. Se negocian en gráficos desnudos y sin indicadores.

作為交易員，想必大家都曾遇到過這樣一種情況：在自己剛剛入場交易後不久，就遇到價格迅速反轉到新的支撐或阻力位的情況，這時候你會如何決定？是否會立即割肉出場？很明顯的是，這樣的情況令人十分沮喪，經驗和心態不夠成熟的交易者大多也會選擇即時止損離場。To get more news about 外匯教學, you can visit wikifx.com official website.
　　如何在更安全的點位入場？今天，小編就將為大家分享“盤整”階段擇機進場交易策略，這一交易策略能為交易員帶來具有更大操作空間和更低風險的交易機會。

　　最考驗耐心的交易方式之一：盤整突破

　　橫盤又稱盤整，是指價格在一段時間內波動幅度小，無明顯的上漲或下降趨勢，股價呈牛皮整理，該階段的行情震幅小，方向不易把握，是投資者最迷惑的階段。盤整不僅僅出現在頭部或底部，也會出現在上漲或下跌途中，投資者這時不應參與操作，應注意觀察，等形態走好，再介入搭順風車。

　　很明顯，在盤整階段，最關鍵的就是對價格進行確認。找到我們稱為“決策區”的匯合點，並確定匯合區的關鍵價格和失效級別分別是多少。在下方的圖表中，綠色框和橙色框是關鍵區域。綠色框表示確認趨勢（牛市突破），橙色框則是無效確認（不會出現牛市突破）。
交易員要做的就是瞭解當價格在預期決策區域反彈或突破時價格可以“走”多遠，考慮下一個決策區在哪里。將目標區域與無效確認點位所在的區域進行比較。如果下一個預期的決策區域就在附近，則該交易沒有足夠的空間，因此最好暫時不要進場或以較低的風險進場。

　　交易者可以將盤整空間的區域（盈利規模）與風險區域（止損規模）進行比較，並衡量風險收益率。根據經驗，潛在目標區域與風險區域之間至少為應該是1:1的風險比率。

　　盤整進場交易的時機選擇非常重要，因為預期空間很小的交易實際上不值得交易，而預期空間很大的交易則能帶來豐厚的回報。交易員在圖表上最好的進場時機之一，就是盤整區域。這是圖形中價格阻力很小的區域。

　　尋找盤整突破的價格走勢線索

　　明確的橫向區間，盤整時間越長，暴漲/暴跌波動的可能性越大；

　　窄幅由低至高的交易區間；

　　對高、低極值的一系列測試。

　　典型的最小突破目標為區間的寬度，但交易者通常可以做更多預測。原因在於，聰明的、規模最大的交易員（機構交易者）往往渴望在一段盤整期過後出現大幅波動。這些交易員同時也有能力/力量去引導市場。所以對此類交易，大家盡可能“貪婪”一些。

　　以歐元/美元 - 小時圖為例（見下圖）：在藍色方框期間內，匯價處於橫向盤整，波動區間在81個點左右。查看圖表可知，價格測試了每小時的最高和最低價格。在15個小時內的交易區間僅有38個點(黃色區域)。在這次橫向盤整中，市場尚未決定未來走勢的方向，但突破可能會很快發生，突破的目標為波動區間值(約81點)。

　　此時應該看多還是看空？

　　不。交易應該完全中立。價格是升是降並不重要，只要開始遠離當前的區域即可。

　　此時的交易風險有多大？

　　對於突破，我們應該期待很快看到動量的釋放。如果價格向上移動5個點並回到區間內，我們可以預期風險不會超過跌破水準的10-12個點。橫向突破的目的是遠離盤整區。而非突破橫向盤整區間後再度回到區間內。價格最終向上突破。8小時後，價格上漲了106點。考慮到風險，這是一個不錯的收益(見下圖)。

　　另外，本次交易的第二日將發佈美國非農就業數據。通常情況下，不建議通過就業人數來建立頭寸，因為這可能是一場隨機的賭博，但如果你能在此次交易中獲得106點的收益同時尋求部分獲利，那麼，大可以拿剩餘頭寸的獲利來冒險，以獲得更多的趨勢收益（趁勝追擊！）。

　　隨後發佈的就業報告的結果比預期的要弱，歐元/美元價格大幅上漲。由此產生了額外120點的利潤。所以，這兩日的總潛在最大利潤是226個點。風險為10-15個點，R:R（風險回報率）接近1:10，利潤豐厚！

Во-первых, исследование, проведенное Бюро журналистских расследований, выявило, что треть работников компании получают зарплату ниже минимальной. Следом за этой новостью, институциональные инвестора Legal & General, Aviva, BMO Global, Aberdeen и Rathbones за несколько дней до IPO отказались вкладываться в компанию. Данный пример показывает, что, на сегодняшний день, многие крупные инвестора гонятся не только за прибылью, но так же смотрят на этическую составляющую компании, в которую вкладываются. По данной причине Deliveroo пришлось сократить количество предлагаемых акций, а так же снизить цену до нижней границы.To get more news about торговля на форекс, you can visit wikifx.com official website.

　　Во-вторых, многие инвесторы так же были озабочены двойной структурой акций компании, по которой генеральный директор Deliveroo Уилл Шу будет иметь 57.5% голосов при владении 6.3% компании.

　　В-третьих, когда мы говорим об успешности IPO, правильно подобранное время играет немаловажную роль. Компании по доставке еды обрели огромную популярность во время локдаунов как возможность для людей насладиться ресторанной едой не выходя из дома, но с 12 апреля рестораны и пабы Великобритании открывают свои двери для посетителей, которые к тому же верят в успешность вакцины, что однозначно скажется на бизнес моделях компаний подобных Deliveroo.

　　В-четвертых, 31 марта — это закрытие первого квартала, во время которого фонды пересматривают свои позиции и не особо настроены вкладываться в волатильные инвестиции, подобные IPO. Так же не стоит забывать, что компания неприбыльна при достаточно серьезной конкуренции в лице Uber Eats и Just Eat Takeaway.

　　В целом, данный пример еще раз указывает нам на то, насколько важно не пребывать в модной на сегодняшний день иллюзии, что на IPO можно легко и неплохо заработать. Поэтому, не забывайте правильно взвешивать риски перед тем, как инвестировать в «многообещающую» компанию.

Kamakailan lamang, ang WikiFX Exposure Platform ay nakatanggap ng isang reklamo tungkol sa isang FX Broker na Firmarkets. Ano ang nangyari sa broker na ito？Ang broker na ito ay isang scam？Hinahayaan natin itong malaman.To get more news about panloloko, you can visit wikifx.com official website.

Nag-deposito ako ng $900 sa platform ng Firmarkets ngunit hindi ko nakuha ang aking mga kinita. Sinabi ng broker na kailangan kong magbayad ng 15% ng mga kita upang paganahin ang aking pag-withdraw.

　　Ang mga Firmarket ay hindi nagbibigay ng mga numero sa pagpaparehistro o anumang iba pang awtoridad sa regulasyon. Nais kong balaan din ang iba na huwag gamitin ang platform na ito. Ang iyong pera ay pupunta lamang sa kanilang account at hindi mo na ito makikita kailanman!

　　After initial investment of $200, I made profits of $4680. When I tried to withdraw the profits, I got an email from Firmarkets saying that I must pay operation currency conversion fee of about $730. I did pay that, hoping to get my profits. But after that they sent another email, saying that I must pay 15% brokerage fee. It was ridiculous because when I made an initial investment, this was not clarified to me at all.The investment plan I use was bitcoin investment. The transactions were loaded using their bitcoin wallet receive address, so its difficult to get a refund in that case.

　　Ang Firmarkets ay ipinakita bilang “walang lisensya” na may markang 1.15 lamang sa WikiFX APP, na nangangahulugan na ang broker ay medyo mapanganib. Iminumungkahi na i-download muna ang WikiFX APP, upang kilalanin ang mga iligal na broker bago makipagkalakalan.　　Bilang isang nangungunang Forex media, nag-aalok ang WikiFX ng detalyadong mga profile ng higit sa 26,000 na mga Forex broker, na lahat ay pinagsama-sama mula sa layunin ng data ng mga mapagkaloob na mapagkukunan. Ang mga namumuhunan ay may libreng pag-access upang tingnan ang lahat ng mga broker ng forex na kasama sa App . Nag-aalok din ang WikiFX ng serbisyo sa pagkakalantad sa scam upang maprotektahan ang mga pondo ng mga namumuhunan.

One of the most common ways to trade the Forex market, or any financial market for that matter, is to use a moving average trading strategy. There is an untold amount of trading strategies available using moving averages, and quite frankly it is a topic that can be endless. However, in this article I will look at some of the most common ways to use moving averages as a trading strategy, and both the advantages and disadvantages of doing so.To get more news about Moving Average Trading Strategies, you can visit wikifx.com official website.

　　Moving average crossover system

　　The moving average crossover system is by far the most common way that you will see moving average is used. It‘s a simple blend of at least two moving averages at different intervals. There is the faster moving average, which is used to determine the short-term trend, and a slower moving average to determine the longer-term trend. The idea is that when the short-term interval moving average crosses above the slower longer-term interval moving average, momentum is building to the upside and buyers will jump in and continue to push higher. Of course, the exact opposite is true as well. If the short-term interval moving average crosses below the longer-term moving average, it’s a signal to start selling.

AUDCAD
　　As you can see on the chart above, the moving average is crisscrossing three different times. Traders will simply buy and sell every time they get a crossover. Because of this, the trader is always in the market. As a side note, I would point out that you need both moving averages either turning up or down to give a better signal, as this is a trend following system, meaning that you get chopped up in a sideways market as the moving averages can cross back and forth randomly.

　　Dynamic support or resistance

　　Moving averages can also be used to enhance systems to promote better trading. For example, the 200 day moving average is often used as a trend finding tool, and also recognized as significant support or resistance, especially on the daily chart. This is because it represents the 200 working days over the course of a year. If the 200 moving average is turned up, you are looking to buy the asset, and of course the opposite is true. There are also moving average is that people will use quite significantly, including the 50 and the 100 moving average.

AUDCAD
　　As you can see on the chart above, there has been a reaction to the 200 moving average on the daily chart more than once. However, I would point out that the moving average by itself is typically not a reason to get involved. Most of the time you are looking for a price action along with that moving average to back up your trading decision.

　　The benefits of using a moving average trading strategy

　　Some of the most common trading strategies are profitable because so many other people use them. After all, if it‘s a simple strategy that pays profits over time, it’s attractive to most people. Beyond that, most moving average trading systems are extraordinarily simple, which is very attractive as they allow even newer traders to be involved. Beyond that, moving average systems are very attractive for algorithmic traders, which will automatically buy or sell at basic averages. This is because of her time its been shown to be a profitable strategy.

　　Moving averages and the appropriate strategy can keep you in sync with the overall trend of the markets. This is of course crucial to being a profitable trader over the longer-term. Moving average strategies tend to be somewhat mechanical, so it makes trading much simpler for those who tend to suffer from “paralysis by analysis.”

　　Some of the cons of using a moving average trading strategy

　　As with all things, there are both pros and cons. Moving average strategies tend to get chopped up and sideways markets as I had mentioned previously, and that is by far one of its greatest weaknesses. Because of this, quite often people will add other indicators such as an oscillator to determine whether or not the crossover is viable. After that, people tend to add far too much to moving average strategies as they don‘t necessarily have a high profitable rate, but the gains far surpass the losses. That’s one of the biggest issues with trading these strategies: the trader needs to be able to trade the system without getting shaken out after a couple of losses. They simply must trust the longer-term viability of the system, and that is typically difficult for most traders. It takes a lot of psychological wherewithal to hang onto these systems over the longer-term.

　　One of the other major cons of these systems is also they are typically discovered early in your trading career. Those new traders tend to jump from one system to the other, so they wont stay in the same system long enough to realize the gains. This will typically sour them to moving average strategies for the longer-term.

Les plates-formes Forex frauduleuses font leurs apparitions sans cesse et il est très difficile de les faire disparaître. WikiFX vous présente ci-après de nouvelles plates-formes Forex frauduleuses, afin d'accroître votre vigilance.To get more news about brokers, you can visit wikifx.com official website.

　　1. GUO TAI

　　Créé il y a 6 ans, le broker GUO TAI détient la licence de type AA de la CGSE de Hong Kong, en Chine. Cependant, il faut faire attention que la CGSE est un établissement de régulation informel, et ses licences ne présentent aucune valeur réelle !

　　Dans l‘année dernière, le GUO TAI a déjà eu des problèmes : Le service client a dit qu’il y avait un actionnaire qui avait pris une partie de capital de la société, ce qui a mené à l‘impossibilité de retrait à cause de la manque de fonds. Aujourd’hui, dans la plate-forme d‘exposition de WikiFX, il y a plein de plaintes concernant le retrait impossible, parmi elles, le compte d’un certain trader a été supprimé automatiquement.

　　Selon un personnel du GUO TAI, la société n'a pas payé ses salariés depuis plusieurs mois, et la société est en état de suppression !

　　Actuellement, le GUO TAI cherche toujours des clients pour qu‘ils puissent ouvrir des compte chez lui, ce qui est à l’encontre des paroles données par le service client ! Veuillez vous écarter absolument de cet escroc !

　　2. Onoka

　　Dans les derniers 3 mois, WikiFX a déjà reçu 22 plaintes contre le broker Onoka au motif de retrait impossible, dont les victimes avaient fait connaissance des arnaqueurs via les réseaux sociaux. Enfin, ils ont déposé leurs fonds dans le broker arnaqueur. Les arnaques de l'Onoka se sont impliquées en Thaïlande, aux Etats-Unis, en Malaisie, aux Philippines etc.

　　WikiFX vous rappelle : Soyez vigilant lors de toutes les communications sur Internet, et ne croyez jamais facilement à n‘importe quel conseil d’investissement !

　　L'APP WikiFX, outil pratique de renseignement sur les brokers mondiaux utilisé par les traders intelligents ! Cliquez ici pour télécharger : https://cutt.ly/WikiFXfr (Android) /https://bit.ly/wikifxFiOS (iOS).

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